This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
J.D. Vance
$752 Volume
93%
Pete Buttigieg
$111 Volume
89%
Ted Cruz
$1.5K Volume
84%
Gavin Newsom
$3.5K Volume
83%
Andy Beshear
$20 Volume
80%
Rahm Emanuel
$70 Volume
77%
Kamala Harris
$1.1K Volume
85%
Josh Shapiro
$100 Volume
71%
Ron DeSantis
$468 Volume
86%
J.B. Pritzker
$45 Volume
71%
Mark Kelly
$126 Volume
66%
Jon Ossoff
$1.8K Volume
61%
Cory Booker
$858 Volume
71%
Wes Moore
$120 Volume
61%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$2.3K Volume
54%
Andrew Yang
$1.4K Volume
44%
Marco Rubio
$1.6K Volume
44%
Rand Paul
$121 Volume
40%
Jared Polis
$80 Volume
39%
Nikki Haley
$100 Volume
34%
Raphael Warnock
$60 Volume
34%
Tucker Carlson
$2.2K Volume
30%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$585 Volume
30%
Tulsi Gabbard
$482 Volume
27%
Donald Trump Jr.
$332 Volume
29%
Brian Kemp
$262 Volume
29%
Josh Hawley
$1.5K Volume
24%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$410 Volume
27%
Glenn Youngkin
$468 Volume
27%
Liz Cheney
$1.4K Volume
22%
Steve Bannon
$2.1K Volume
22%
John Fetterman
$1.7K Volume
23%
Gretchen Whitmer
$815 Volume
92%
Gina Raimondo
$1.1K Volume
22%
Stephen A. Smith
$811 Volume
20%
Jon Stewart
$1.5K Volume
18%
Phil Murphy
$563 Volume
24%
Elise Stefanik
$20 Volume
91%
Elon Musk
$310 Volume
18%
Mark Cuban
$143 Volume
22%
Michelle Obama
$783 Volume
16%
Bernie Sanders
$995 Volume
17%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$725 Volume
17%
John Thune
$203 Volume
20%
Hunter Biden
$1.3K Volume
15%
MrBeast
$1.2K Volume
14%
Kim Kardashian
$1.5K Volume
14%
Mike Pence
$542 Volume
20%
Zohran Mamdani
$990 Volume
13%
Roy Cooper
$40 Volume
19%
Donald Trump
86%
Hillary Clinton
$2K Volume
11%
Byron Donalds
$64 Volume
49%
Kristi Noem
50%
Ivanka Trump
14%
Tom Brady
$20 Volume
16%
Oprah Winfrey
$20 Volume
18%
Greg Abbott
15%
Erika Kirk
$920 Volume
10%
Candace Owens
90%
George Clooney
12%
Tim Walz
$2K Volume
7%
Barack Obama
$5 Volume
9%
Katie Britt
50%
Don Lemon
50%
Chelsea Clinton
$63 Volume
3%
Beto O’Rourke
50%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
94%
Matt Gaetz
94%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$122 Volume
35%
LeBron James
$99 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
J.D. Vance dominates the field at 91%; the nearest challenger, Pete Buttigieg, trades at just 87%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
With 91% implied for J.D. Vance, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Who will announce Presidential run before 2028 market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2027 (495 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Total turnover stands at $46.2K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Who will announce Presidential run before 2028 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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