Ukraine · Geopolitics

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

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$351.5K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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Ursula von der Leyen

$8.9K Volume

71%

Mark Rutte

$8.9K Volume

70%

Jared Kushner

$4.8K Volume

65%

Donald Tusk

$12.1K Volume

59%

Emmanuel Macron

$7K Volume

41%

Steve Witkoff

$5.7K Volume

53%

Mark Carney

$11K Volume

76%

António Guterres

$9.1K Volume

19%

Friedrich Merz

$12.1K Volume

43%

Donald Trump

$108.8K Volume

JD Vance

$72.3K Volume

Resolved 4

António Costa

$38.6K Volume

Yes

Maia Sandu

$7.7K Volume

Yes

Keith Kellogg

$27.4K Volume

Yes

Andy Burnham

$17.3K Volume

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual visits Ukraine between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the listed individual physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Ukraine. Whether or not the listed individual enters Ukrainian airspace during the timeframe of this market will not be considered.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

The money is on Ursula von der Leyen at 70%; Mark Rutte follows at 68%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.

What do traders predict for Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

The market makes Ursula von der Leyen the favorite at 70%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the Who will visit Ukraine by December 31 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Traders have put $351.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Who will visit Ukraine by December 31 on Polymarket?

You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.