Senate elections are scheduled to be held in France on September 27, 2026. The newly constituted Senate will convene following these elections to elect its President.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gérard Larcher is reelected as President of the Senate (Président du Sénat) following the 2026 French Senate elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
To count for resolution, Gérard Larcher must be formally elected as President of the Senate following the 2026 French Senate elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such President is elected by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French Senate (Sénat) (senat.fr); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Global Elections
· Elections
Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
At 90% for Yes versus 10% for No, the order book sees little doubt here. Even so, the price stays live and can swing on fresh news.
What do traders predict for Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
Traders price Yes at a 90% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate market resolve?
Mark 27 Sep 2026 (34 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?
$7.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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