This market will resolve to “Yes” if Michael Olise transfers from Bayern Munich to Real Madrid by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Loan deals will qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from Bayern Munich and Real Madrid and a consensus of credible media reporting.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?
Yes is the outsider here at 1%, while No trades at 99%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 1%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid?
Traders have put $44K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Will Michael Olise Transfer to Real Madrid on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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