If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
December 31
$2.2M Volume
5%
Resolved 6
January 31
$547.3K Volume
No
February 28
$451.4K Volume
No
March 31
$8.5M Volume
No
April 30
$1.6M Volume
No
May 31
$1.8M Volume
No
June 30
$6.6M Volume
No
Analysis & News
Will Iran Play at the World Cup? The Market Says 97% - Despite the War, Pulled Tickets and a Visa Standoff
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by?
The market prices Yes at only 5%, with No at 96%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 5% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by?
Total turnover stands at $21.8M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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