Mercados de Predicción: China

47 mercados activos

China prediction markets — Taiwan, trade and foreign policy

¿Invadirá China Taiwán para finales de 2026? ¿Invadirá China Taiwán para finales de 2026?
4%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$44,3 mil Vol 31/12
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
33%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$31,9 mil Vol 31/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba93%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai4%SíNo
$23,1 mil Vol 7 días restantes
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%SíNo
CATLCATL19%SíNo
$186,9 mil Vol 30/06
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot53%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai35%SíNo
$15,9 mil Vol 30/09
¿Visitará Xi Jinping EE. UU. antes de 2027?¿Visitará Xi Jinping EE. UU. antes de 2027?
December 3197%SíNo
October 3196%SíNo
$738,9 mil Vol 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$6,2 mil Vol 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai61%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot35%SíNo
$15,9 mil Vol 31/08
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
8%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$4,2 mil Vol 31/12
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$1,1 M Vol 31/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai16%SíNo
$23,1 mil Vol 30/09
Where will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?Where will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
China92%SíNo
Japón49%SíNo
$5,7 mil Vol 01/09
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot28%SíNo
$15,9 mil Vol 31/10
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
3%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$4,3 mil Vol 31/12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? China x Japan military clash before 2027?
9%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$1,3 M Vol 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202621%
June 30, 20262%
$55,5 mil Vol 01/01
China Annual GDP Growth 2026China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%88%SíNo
5.0–6.0%8%SíNo
$881,8 mil Vol 31/01
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%46%SíNo
4.6-4.9%36%SíNo
$559 Vol 20/10
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot37%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai29%SíNo
$1 mil Vol 31/10
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot65%SíNo
Z.aiZ.ai32%SíNo
$1 mil Vol 31/08
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026? Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
39%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$17,6 mil Vol 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$44,3 mil Vol 30/09
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
December 3148%SíNo
September 303%SíNo
$86,5 mil Vol 01/01
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
1%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$107,4 mil Vol 31/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba55%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot27%SíNo
$23,1 mil Vol 31/10
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#337%SíNo
#111%SíNo
$211,3 mil Vol 31/12
China coup attempt before 2027? China coup attempt before 2027?
4%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$170 Vol 31/12
¿Invadirá China Taiwán antes del 30 de junio de 2027? ¿Invadirá China Taiwán antes del 30 de junio de 2027?
8%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$44,3 mil Vol 30/06
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
6%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$106 Vol 31/12
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
No Change87%SíNo
Decrease13%SíNo
$100 Vol 30/09
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Dong Jun12%SíNo
Zhang Shengmin5%SíNo
$202,2 mil Vol 31/12
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
19%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$8,2 mil Vol 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
12%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$44,3 mil Vol 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai49%SíNo
MoonshotMoonshot23%SíNo
$1 mil Vol 30/09
US x China tariff agreement by August 31? US x China tariff agreement by August 31?
1%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$6,2 mil Vol 31/08
China Annual Inflation 2026China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0%60%SíNo
0.1 – 0.5%18%SíNo
$73,9 mil Vol 10/01
China x India military clash by...?China x India military clash by...?
June 3050%SíNo
December 3150%SíNo
$327,7 mil Vol 01/01
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DeepSeekDeepSeek30%SíNo
ByteDanceByteDance15%SíNo
$76,6 mil Vol 30/06
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
14%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$38,3 mil Vol 31/12
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
4%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$105,6 mil Vol 31/12
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
2%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$48,8 mil Vol 31/12
August Inflation China - AnnualAugust Inflation China - Annual
0.5% - 0.6%39%SíNo
0.7% - 0.8%32%SíNo
$18,6 mil Vol 09/09
Jimmy Lai released by...?Jimmy Lai released by...?
December 31, 20262%
June 30, 20261%
$379,5 mil Vol 01/01
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
9%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$157,9 mil Vol 31/12
US x China Military clash before 2027? US x China Military clash before 2027?
4%
de probabilidad
Sí No
$197,4 mil Vol 31/12
¿Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai fuera del cargo antes de...?¿Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai fuera del cargo antes de...?
June 301%
December 3114%
$136,7 mil Vol 01/01
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 3194%SíNo
September 304%SíNo
$45,5 mil Vol 01/01
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