予測市場：China

47 アクティブなマーケット

China prediction markets — Taiwan, trade and foreign policy

中国は2026年末までに台湾に侵攻するか？ 中国は2026年末までに台湾に侵攻するか？
4%
確率
はい いいえ
$4.4万 取引高 31/12
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
33%
確率
はい いいえ
$3.2万 取引高 31/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
AlibabaAlibaba93%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai4%はいいいえ
$2.3万 取引高 残り7日
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
AlibabaAlibaba22%はいいいえ
CATLCATL19%はいいいえ
$18.7万 取引高 30/06
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
MoonshotMoonshot53%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai35%はいいいえ
$1.6万 取引高 30/09
習近平は2027年以前にアメリカを訪問しますか？習近平は2027年以前にアメリカを訪問しますか？
December 3197%はいいいえ
October 3196%はいいいえ
$73.9万 取引高 31/12
US x China tariff agreement by December 31? US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87%
確率
はい いいえ
$6,176 取引高 31/12
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
Z.aiZ.ai61%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot35%はいいいえ
$1.6万 取引高 31/08
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$4,168 取引高 31/12
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
2%
確率
はい いいえ
$105.7万 取引高 31/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
AlibabaAlibaba67%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai16%はいいいえ
$2.3万 取引高 30/09
Where will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?Where will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall?
China92%はいいいえ
日本49%はいいいえ
$5,704 取引高 01/09
Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
Z.aiZ.ai34%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot28%はいいいえ
$1.6万 取引高 31/10
Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31?
3%
確率
はい いいえ
$4,310 取引高 31/12
China x Japan military clash before 2027? China x Japan military clash before 2027?
9%
確率
はい いいえ
$129.1万 取引高 31/12
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?
December 31, 202621%
June 30, 20262%
$5.5万 取引高 01/01
China Annual GDP Growth 2026China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0%88%はいいいえ
5.0–6.0%8%はいいいえ
$88.2万 取引高 31/01
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
4.3-4.6%46%はいいいえ
4.6-4.9%36%はいいいえ
$559 取引高 20/10
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
MoonshotMoonshot37%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai29%はいいいえ
$1,027 取引高 31/10
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of August?
MoonshotMoonshot65%はいいいえ
Z.aiZ.ai32%はいいいえ
$1,027 取引高 31/08
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026? Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
39%
確率
はい いいえ
$1.8万 取引高 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
1%
確率
はい いいえ
$4.4万 取引高 30/09
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?
December 3148%はいいいえ
September 303%はいいいえ
$8.6万 取引高 01/01
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027? Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
1%
確率
はい いいえ
$10.7万 取引高 31/12
Best Chinese AI Company end of October?Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
AlibabaAlibaba55%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot27%はいいいえ
$2.3万 取引高 31/10
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#337%はいいいえ
#111%はいいいえ
$21.1万 取引高 31/12
China coup attempt before 2027? China coup attempt before 2027?
4%
確率
はい いいえ
$170 取引高 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
8%
確率
はい いいえ
$4.4万 取引高 30/06
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?
6%
確率
はい いいえ
$106 取引高 31/12
People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?People's Bank of China rate change by September 30?
No Change87%はいいいえ
Decrease13%はいいいえ
$100 取引高 30/09
Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?
Dong Jun12%はいいいえ
Zhang Shengmin5%はいいいえ
$20.2万 取引高 31/12
China ballistic missile launch by December 31? China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
19%
確率
はい いいえ
$8,167 取引高 31/12
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
12%
確率
はい いいえ
$4.4万 取引高 31/12
Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Z.aiZ.ai49%はいいいえ
MoonshotMoonshot23%はいいいえ
$1,027 取引高 30/09
US x China tariff agreement by August 31? US x China tariff agreement by August 31?
1%
確率
はい いいえ
$6,176 取引高 31/08
China Annual Inflation 2026China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0%60%はいいいえ
0.1 – 0.5%18%はいいいえ
$7.4万 取引高 10/01
China x India military clash by...?China x India military clash by...?
June 3050%はいいいえ
December 3150%はいいいえ
$32.8万 取引高 01/01
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DeepSeekDeepSeek30%はいいいえ
ByteDanceByteDance15%はいいいえ
$7.7万 取引高 30/06
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
14%
確率
はい いいえ
$3.8万 取引高 31/12
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026? Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
4%
確率
はい いいえ
$10.6万 取引高 31/12
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
2%
確率
はい いいえ
$4.9万 取引高 31/12
August Inflation China - AnnualAugust Inflation China - Annual
0.5% - 0.6%39%はいいいえ
0.7% - 0.8%32%はいいいえ
$1.9万 取引高 09/09
Jimmy Lai released by...?Jimmy Lai released by...?
December 31, 20262%
June 30, 20261%
$37.9万 取引高 01/01
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?
9%
確率
はい いいえ
$15.8万 取引高 31/12
US x China Military clash before 2027? US x China Military clash before 2027?
4%
確率
はい いいえ
$19.7万 取引高 31/12
Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-taiは...までに退任する？Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-taiは...までに退任する？
June 301%
December 3114%
$13.7万 取引高 01/01
Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?Xi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by...?
December 3194%はいいいえ
September 304%はいいいえ
$4.6万 取引高 01/01
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