🏦 Prognosemärkte: Federal Reserve

23 aktive Märkte

Federal Reserve prediction markets — interest rates, inflation and monetary policy

Fed-Entscheidung im September?Fed-Entscheidung im September?
No changeNo change68%JaNein
25 bps increase25 bps increase32%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 16/09
Wie viele Zinssenkungen nimmt die Fed 2026 vor?Wie viele Zinssenkungen nimmt die Fed 2026 vor?
0 (0 bps)86%JaNein
1 (25 bps)10%JaNein
$49,5 Mio. Vol 31/12
Fed-Entscheidung im Oktober?Fed-Entscheidung im Oktober?
No change72%JaNein
25 bps increase25%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 28/10
Fed rate hike by...?Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting41%JaNein
September Meeting31%JaNein
$14,6 Tsd. Vol 29/10
Fed rate hike in 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026?
55%
Chance
Ja Nein
$14,6 Tsd. Vol 09/12
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause69%JaNein
Other31%JaNein
$7,3 Tsd. Vol 16/09
Fed-Entscheidung im Dezember?Fed-Entscheidung im Dezember?
No change61%JaNein
25 bps increase29%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 09/12
Fed-Entscheidung im Januar?Fed-Entscheidung im Januar?
No change61%JaNein
25 bps increase22%JaNein
$1,6 Mio. Vol 27/01
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pause–Pause–Pause58%JaNein
Other41%JaNein
$7,3 Tsd. Vol 28/10
Fed rate cut by...?Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting13%JaNein
October Meeting5%JaNein
$3,2 Mio. Vol 08/01
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%12%JaNein
↓ 3.25%11%JaNein
$1,8 Mio. Vol 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%43%JaNein
4.0%32%JaNein
$6,8 Mio. Vol 09/12
What will be the next Fed rate change?What will be the next Fed rate change?
Hike57%
Cut43%
$2,9 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Fed-Notzinssenkung vor 2027? Fed-Notzinssenkung vor 2027?
6%
Chance
Ja Nein
$178 Vol 31/12
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%4.8%67%JaNein
5.0%5.0%16%JaNein
$120 Vol 31/12
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
May 301%
December 3118%
$436,3 Tsd. Vol 01/01
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
224%JaNein
323%JaNein
$12 Vol 09/12
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
325%JaNein
220%JaNein
$12 Vol 27/01
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%JaNein
3.6%3.6%5%JaNein
$225,4 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
December 317%JaNein
November 307%JaNein
$5 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
2%
Chance
Ja Nein
$5,6 Tsd. Vol 31/12
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
August 3119%JaNein
September 3014%JaNein
$26,4 Tsd. Vol 01/01
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
December 31, 202613%
June 30, 20261%
$318,7 Tsd. Vol 01/01
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