🏦 Marchés de prédiction : Réserve fédérale

23 marchés actifs

Federal Reserve prediction markets — interest rates, inflation and monetary policy

Décision de la Fed en septembre ?Décision de la Fed en septembre ?
No changeNo change67%OuiNon
25 bps increase25 bps increase33%OuiNon
$2,1 M Vol 16/09
Combien de baisses de taux la Fed fera-t-elle en 2026 ?Combien de baisses de taux la Fed fera-t-elle en 2026 ?
0 (0 bps)86%OuiNon
1 (25 bps)10%OuiNon
$49,5 M Vol 31/12
Décision de la Fed en octobre ?Décision de la Fed en octobre ?
No change72%OuiNon
25 bps increase25%OuiNon
$2,1 M Vol 28/10
Fed rate hike by...?Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting41%OuiNon
September Meeting34%OuiNon
$16,9 k Vol 29/10
Fed rate hike in 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026?
56%
de chance
Oui Non
$16,9 k Vol 09/12
Décision de la Fed en décembre ?Décision de la Fed en décembre ?
No change61%OuiNon
25 bps increase29%OuiNon
$2,1 M Vol 09/12
Décision de la Fed en janvier ?Décision de la Fed en janvier ?
No change61%OuiNon
25 bps increase22%OuiNon
$2,1 M Vol 27/01
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause67%OuiNon
Other32%OuiNon
$5 k Vol 16/09
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pause–Pause–Pause58%OuiNon
Other41%OuiNon
$5 k Vol 28/10
Fed rate cut by...?Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting12%OuiNon
October Meeting5%OuiNon
$3,2 M Vol 08/01
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%45%OuiNon
4.0%31%OuiNon
$6,8 M Vol 09/12
Baisse de taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ? Baisse de taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?
8%
de chance
Oui Non
$1,3 k Vol 31/12
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%11%OuiNon
↓ 3.25%11%OuiNon
$1,8 M Vol 31/12
What will be the next Fed rate change?What will be the next Fed rate change?
Hike57%
Cut43%
$2,9 k Vol 31/12
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%4.8%67%OuiNon
5.0%5.0%17%OuiNon
$137 Vol 31/12
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
May 301%
December 3118%
$436,3 k Vol 01/01
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%OuiNon
3.6%3.6%5%OuiNon
$225,4 k Vol 31/12
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
325%OuiNon
220%OuiNon
$8,9 k Vol 27/01
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
September 3013%OuiNon
December 3111%OuiNon
$26,4 k Vol 01/01
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
December 317%OuiNon
November 307%OuiNon
$5 k Vol 01/01
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
2%
de chance
Oui Non
$5,6 k Vol 31/12
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
December 31, 202613%
June 30, 20261%
$318,7 k Vol 01/01
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
224%OuiNon
323%OuiNon
$7,3 k Vol 09/12
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