🏦 预测市场：美联储

23 活跃市场

Federal Reserve prediction markets — interest rates, inflation and monetary policy

9月美联储决议？9月美联储决议？
No changeNo change67%是否
25 bps increase25 bps increase33%是否
$205.7万 成交量 16/09
美联储2026年降息几次？美联储2026年降息几次？
0 (0 bps)86%是否
1 (25 bps)10%是否
$4,949.3万 成交量 31/12
10月美联储决议？10月美联储决议？
No change72%是否
25 bps increase25%是否
$205.7万 成交量 28/10
Fed rate hike by...?Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting41%是否
September Meeting34%是否
$1.7万 成交量 29/10
Fed rate hike in 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026?
56%
概率
是 否
$1.7万 成交量 09/12
12月美联储决议？12月美联储决议？
No change61%是否
25 bps increase29%是否
$205.7万 成交量 09/12
1月美联储决议？1月美联储决议？
No change61%是否
25 bps increase22%是否
$205.7万 成交量 27/01
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause67%是否
Other32%是否
$4,979 成交量 16/09
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pause–Pause–Pause58%是否
Other41%是否
$4,979 成交量 28/10
Fed rate cut by...?Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting12%是否
October Meeting5%是否
$317.4万 成交量 08/01
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%45%是否
4.0%31%是否
$677.1万 成交量 09/12
美联储在2027年前紧急降息？ 美联储在2027年前紧急降息？
8%
概率
是 否
$1,292 成交量 31/12
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%11%是否
↓ 3.25%11%是否
$177.9万 成交量 31/12
What will be the next Fed rate change?What will be the next Fed rate change?
Hike57%
Cut43%
$2,937 成交量 31/12
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%4.8%67%是否
5.0%5.0%17%是否
$137 成交量 31/12
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
May 301%
December 3118%
$43.6万 成交量 01/01
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%是否
3.6%3.6%5%是否
$22.5万 成交量 31/12
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
325%是否
220%是否
$8,876 成交量 27/01
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
September 3013%是否
December 3111%是否
$2.6万 成交量 01/01
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
December 317%是否
November 307%是否
$5,007 成交量 01/01
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
2%
概率
是 否
$5,637 成交量 31/12
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
December 31, 202613%
June 30, 20261%
$31.9万 成交量 01/01
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
224%是否
323%是否
$7,289 成交量 09/12
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