🏦 Mercati di previsione: Federal Reserve

23 mercati attivi

Federal Reserve prediction markets — interest rates, inflation and monetary policy

Decisione della Fed a settembre?Decisione della Fed a settembre?
No changeNo change68%SìNo
25 bps increase25 bps increase32%SìNo
$1,6 Mln Volume 16/09
Quanti tagli dei tassi farà la Fed nel 2026?Quanti tagli dei tassi farà la Fed nel 2026?
0 (0 bps)86%SìNo
1 (25 bps)10%SìNo
$49,5 Mln Volume 31/12
Decisione della Fed a ottobre?Decisione della Fed a ottobre?
No change72%SìNo
25 bps increase25%SìNo
$1,6 Mln Volume 28/10
Fed rate hike by...?Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting41%SìNo
September Meeting31%SìNo
$14.560 Volume 29/10
Fed rate hike in 2026? Fed rate hike in 2026?
55%
probabilità
Sì No
$14.560 Volume 09/12
Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
Pause–Pause–Pause69%SìNo
Other31%SìNo
$7.332 Volume 16/09
Decisione della Fed a dicembre?Decisione della Fed a dicembre?
No change61%SìNo
25 bps increase29%SìNo
$1,6 Mln Volume 09/12
Decisione della Fed a gennaio?Decisione della Fed a gennaio?
No change61%SìNo
25 bps increase22%SìNo
$1,6 Mln Volume 27/01
Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
Pause–Pause–Pause58%SìNo
Other41%SìNo
$7.332 Volume 28/10
Fed rate cut by...?Fed rate cut by...?
December Meeting13%SìNo
October Meeting5%SìNo
$3,2 Mln Volume 08/01
What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?
↑ 4.25%12%SìNo
↓ 3.25%11%SìNo
$1,8 Mln Volume 31/12
What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
3.75%43%SìNo
4.0%32%SìNo
$6,8 Mln Volume 09/12
What will be the next Fed rate change?What will be the next Fed rate change?
Hike57%
Cut43%
$2.933 Volume 31/12
Taglio dei tassi d'emergenza della Fed prima del 2027? Taglio dei tassi d'emergenza della Fed prima del 2027?
6%
probabilità
Sì No
$178 Volume 31/12
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
4.8%4.8%67%SìNo
5.0%5.0%16%SìNo
$120 Volume 31/12
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
May 301%
December 3118%
$436.316 Volume 01/01
How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?How many dissent at the December Fed meeting?
224%SìNo
323%SìNo
$12 Volume 09/12
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
325%SìNo
220%SìNo
$12 Volume 27/01
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%3.9%10%SìNo
3.6%3.6%5%SìNo
$225.403 Volume 31/12
Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?Lisa Cook officially out as Fed Governor by...?
December 317%SìNo
November 307%SìNo
$5.007 Volume 01/01
Jerome Powell in jail before 2027? Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?
2%
probabilità
Sì No
$5.637 Volume 31/12
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
August 3119%SìNo
September 3014%SìNo
$26.402 Volume 01/01
Jerome Powell federally charged by...?Jerome Powell federally charged by...?
December 31, 202613%
June 30, 20261%
$318.734 Volume 01/01
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