SpaceX, Priced by the Market

The most anticipated IPO in history, Starship reusability milestones, launch records and Mars timelines - SpaceX markets are where space enthusiasm meets real-money probability. When an engine test ends early or an IPO filing leaks, these prices move before the press releases do. New to reading them? Start with the probability guide.

25 active markets
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SpaceXSpaceX65%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic36%YesNo
December 31, 20262%
December 31, 202718%
October 3196%YesNo
September 3094%YesNo
$800-$900B68%YesNo
$700-$800B16%YesNo
December 31, 20268%
December 31, 202751%
December 31, 202744%YesNo
June 30, 202732%YesNo
↓ $1002%YesNo
↓ $851%YesNo
<561%YesNo
5-637%YesNo
1382%YesNo
1420%YesNo
$8093%YesNo
$9092%YesNo
December 31, 202768%YesNo
June 30, 202754%YesNo
June 301%
December 3113%
140-15950%YesNo
160-17936%YesNo
June 30, 202779%YesNo
December 31, 202625%YesNo
SpaceX94%
OpenAI6%
October 31, 202649%YesNo
September 30, 202619%YesNo

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SpaceX markets - FAQ

What SpaceX markets does Polymarket list?
IPO markets (timing and closing market cap), Starship development milestones like full reusability, launch-cadence records, and Mars-program timelines - plus Elon-related markets that often move together with them.
How do IPO valuation markets resolve?
Each bracket resolves on the official closing market cap per the resolution source named in the rules - typically first-day close per a specified data provider. Read the rules tab: the bracket boundaries and source are the contract.
Why do SpaceX odds move before news breaks?
Traders following FAA filings, road closures at Starbase and supplier chatter act on information early, and the order book aggregates them. A sharp move is often the first public signal.
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