This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<230K
58%
230K-245K
58%
245K-260K
54%
260K-275K
53%
275K-290K
76%
290K-305K
79%
305K-320K
47%
320K+
65%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
The field is wide open: 290K-305K tops it at just 42%, with 275K-290K close behind at 41%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
No strong consensus yet: 290K-305K tops the implied probabilities at just 42%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (71 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How can I trade Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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