Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego

ATP
Lorenzo Sonego67
Adrian Mannarino16⁵
Final
Game context

Adrian Mannarino faces Lorenzo Sonego in the Winston-Salem Open second round on outdoor hard courts, where both former champions bring contrasting styles and uneven 2026 records. The 38-year-old Frenchman holds a 3-2 head-to-head lead, including a perfect 3-0 mark on this surface, relying on his left-handed variety and defensive craft, yet enters on a three-match losing streak after early exits in Cincinnati and Montreal. Sonego, ranked around No. 91, arrives with marginally stronger recent results—including a three-set win over Pierre-Hugues Herbert—and greater raw power that has produced deeper runs like Wimbledon’s third round. Trader consensus reflects these tensions, with models assigning Sonego a modest edge around 55-56% implied probability while acknowledging Mannarino’s historical success and home-tournament familiarity as realistic upset factors in a best-of-three format.

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Moneyline
$191.5K Vol.

This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Lorenzo Sonego in the Winston-Salem Open, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 6:30PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Lorenzo Sonego.

This market will resolve to 'Lorenzo Sonego' if Lorenzo Sonego advances against Adrian Mannarino.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution Source: www.atptour.com

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego Set 2 O/U 8.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego market resolve?
Mark 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego?
Total turnover stands at $17.1M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Winston-Salem Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Lorenzo Sonego on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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