This market refers to the tennis match between Shintaro Mochizuki and Daniel Milavsky in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Daniel Milavsky.
This market will resolve to 'Daniel Milavsky' if Daniel Milavsky advances against Shintaro Mochizuki.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky
ATP
Daniel Milavsky
0-0
–
vs
25/08 15:00
–
Shintaro Mochizuki
0-0
Game context
Mochizuki enters this US Open qualifying match as the clear favorite, holding an ATP ranking near 112-117 compared to Milavsky’s position around 306-316. The Japanese player’s recent fourth-round run at Wimbledon 2026, where he defeated higher seeds before falling to Jannik Sinner, underscores his experience on Grand Slam surfaces and ability to perform under pressure. Milavsky, an American climbing the rankings with a career-high singles mark achieved in August 2026, has shown promise in ITF and Challenger events but lacks equivalent main-tour depth or hard-court results against established opponents. On outdoor hard courts in New York, Mochizuki’s stronger serve-return game and prior major exposure shape trader consensus around his implied probability edge, though qualifier volatility remains a factor in first-round outcomes.
Moneyline
$21.1K Vol.Match Completed
1st Set Winner
Set Winner
Total Games
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Match O/U 21.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Match O/U 22.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Match O/U 23.5
Set Total
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Total Sets: O/U 2.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 1 O/U 10.5
More Bets
$775 Vol.Set Handicap
$47 Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky?
It's a genuine race: US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 Winner edges the field at 57%, barely ahead of US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 1 Winner at 56%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky?
At 57% implied for US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky Set 2 Winner, the market isn't committing. Expect these numbers to move as the picture develops.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky market resolve?
Mark 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky?
Total turnover stands at $12.6M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Daniel Milavsky on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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