This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Nardi and Federico Cina in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 25, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Luca Nardi' if Luca Nardi advances against Federico Cina.
This market will resolve to 'Federico Cina' if Federico Cina advances against Luca Nardi.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina
ATP
Federico Cina63Luca Nardi40Final
Game context
Federico Cina holds the edge in this US Open qualifying first-round Italian derby on outdoor hard courts, with traders pricing the 19-year-old at roughly 65-70% implied probability due to his higher current ranking near No. 181 and stronger year-to-date results compared to the 23-year-old Nardi at No. 238. Cina's recent hard-court consistency and lower age factor into market positioning, while Nardi's career-high ranking of No. 67 and prior Grand Slam qualifying experience provide counterbalance but reflect a dip in recent form. Both players enter off tight losses, with no prior head-to-head meetings adding uncertainty to the closely contested baseline expectations. The winner faces a tough second-round path potentially including Hugo Dellien.
Moneyline
$259.9K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$5K Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Total Sets: O/U 2.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Total
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$6.2K Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Match O/U 21.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Match O/U 22.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Match O/U 23.5
1st Set Winner
$565 Vol.Set Winner
$693 Vol.Set Handicap
$204 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set Handicap +/-1.5
More Bets
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina?
At 99%, US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 8.5 has pulled far clear of US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 9.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina?
Traders price US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina Set 1 O/U 8.5 at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Sep 2026 (7 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina?
Traders have put $17.1M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cina on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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