This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Juan Pablo Varillas in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Juan Pablo Varillas.
This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Luka Pavlovic.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas
ATP
Juan Pablo Varillas375
Luka Pavlovic66³7Final
Game context
Luka Pavlovic enters the US Open qualifying draw with a ranking advantage near 207 and recent hard-court exposure from prior Grand Slam attempts, giving traders reason to view him as the consensus favorite against the lower-ranked Juan Pablo Varillas. The 26-year-old Frenchman leads their head-to-head 1-0 after a three-set win on clay in 2025, though neither player has posted strong main-tour results this season. Varillas, now ranked around 236 and more accustomed to clay, has shown mixed form in recent Challengers. The hard-court surface at Flushing Meadows favors aggressive baseline play and strong serving, areas where Pavlovic has demonstrated better consistency in 2026. Any late fitness or scheduling adjustments could still shift implied probabilities in this first-round qualifier.
Moneyline
$385.8K Vol.Match Completed
Set Winner
$341 Vol.Set Total
$7 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 10.5
1st Set Winner
$37 Vol.1st Set Total
$5 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 10.5
Total Games
$225 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.5
Set Handicap
$471 Vol.More Bets
Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
At 99%, Completed Match has pulled far clear of US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 (99%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
Traders price Completed Match at a 99% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas market resolve?
Mark 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas?
$12.2M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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