This market refers to the tennis match between Toby Samuel and Francesco Maestrelli in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 2:00PM ET.
This market will resolve to 'Toby Samuel' if Toby Samuel advances against Francesco Maestrelli.
This market will resolve to 'Francesco Maestrelli' if Francesco Maestrelli advances against Toby Samuel.
If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli
ATP
Francesco Maestrelli731
Toby Samuel6²66Final
Game context
Toby Samuel holds the clear edge in this US Open qualifying first-round matchup on outdoor hard courts, reflecting his higher ATP ranking near 113 and stronger recent trajectory compared to Francesco Maestrelli at approximately 166. Samuel reached the main draw at both the 2026 French Open and Wimbledon, posting a career-high ranking in early August, while Maestrelli has endured a dip with just one win in his last several outings and exits in recent hard-court qualifiers. The surface favors neither player dramatically, but Samuel’s serve and consistency on faster courts, combined with greater Grand Slam qualifying experience, underpin the market’s consensus around an 78% implied probability for the Briton. Late scratches or weather delays remain the primary variables that could shift the outcome in this closely scheduled encounter.
Moneyline
$101.6K Vol.Match Completed
Set Total
$8 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 2 O/U 10.5
Set Winner
$10 Vol.Set Handicap
$158 Vol.Total Games
$273 Vol.US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 21.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 22.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Match O/U 23.5
1st Set Winner
$339 Vol.1st Set Total
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 8.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 9.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Set 1 O/U 10.5
More Bets
$191 Vol. Resolution Source: www.atptour.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli?
Completed Match dominates the field at 99%; the nearest challenger, US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5, trades at just 99%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli?
With 99% implied for Completed Match, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli market resolve?
Mark 31 Aug 2026 (6 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli?
$17M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade US Open, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs Francesco Maestrelli on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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