This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Republican Party
$1.5K Volume
70%
Democratic Party
$1.2K Volume
31%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for AZ-02 House Election Winner?
The money is on Republican Party at 68%; Democratic Party follows at 29%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for AZ-02 House Election Winner?
The market makes Republican Party the favorite at 68%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the AZ-02 House Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 4 Nov 2026 (70 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on AZ-02 House Election Winner?
Traders have put $2.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade AZ-02 House Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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