The Bahia gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Jerônimo Rodrigues
$38.5K Volume
54%
ACM Neto
$40.6K Volume
49%
João Roma
$5.2K Volume
1%
José Carlos Aleluia
$11K Volume
1%
Kleber Rosa
$12.9K Volume
1%
Rui Costa
$5.7K Volume
1%
Bruno Soares Reis
$5.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Bahia Governor Election Winner?
It's a genuine race: Jerônimo Rodrigues edges the field at 53%, barely ahead of ACM Neto at 48%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Bahia Governor Election Winner?
Traders give Jerônimo Rodrigues a 53% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Bahia Governor Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Bahia Governor Election Winner?
Traders have put $119.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Bahia Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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