A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Flávio Bolsonaro
$374K Volume
89%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
$302K Volume
7%
Renan Santos
$1.1M Volume
4%
Ronaldo Caiado
$381.9K Volume
1%
Tarcisio de Freitas
$226.3K Volume
1%
Jair Bolsonaro
$156K Volume
1%
Fernando Haddad
$762.6K Volume
1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
$169.2K Volume
1%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
$128K Volume
1%
Ratinho Júnior
$699.1K Volume
1%
Romeu Zema
$331.3K Volume
1%
Camilo Santana
$156K Volume
1%
Geraldo Alckmin
$179.9K Volume
1%
Aldo Rebelo
$89.9K Volume
1%
Eduardo Leite
$97.2K Volume
1%
Tereza Cristina
$35.5K Volume
1%
Helder Barbalho
$21K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
At 89%, Flávio Bolsonaro has pulled far clear of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (7%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
With 89% implied for Flávio Bolsonaro, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place?
Total turnover stands at $5.2M. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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