A by-election for the Canadian federal electoral district of Beaches—East York is currently scheduled to be held on August 31, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Beaches—East York by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Canada (https://www.elections.ca/).
Tanveer Shahnawaz
$3.1K Volume
99%
Jocelyne Poirier
$589 Volume
1%
Mike Layton
$715 Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Beaches—East York By-Election Winner?
Tanveer Shahnawaz dominates the field at 98%; the nearest challenger, Person A, trades at just 50%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Beaches—East York By-Election Winner?
Traders price Tanveer Shahnawaz at a 98% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Beaches—East York By-Election Winner market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Aug 2026 (8 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Beaches—East York By-Election Winner?
Total turnover stands at $4.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Beaches—East York By-Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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