A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Paraíba, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Paraíba.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Paraíba. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Lula
$4.1K Volume
97%
Clariana Barao
$431 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$431 Volume
1%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$493 Volume
1%
Flavio Bolsonaro
$452 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$483 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$431 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$431 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$431 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$431 Volume
1%
Samara
$431 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$431 Volume
1%
Zema
$431 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba?
At 96%, Lula has pulled far clear of Candidate A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba?
Traders price Lula at a 96% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 4 Oct 2026 (40 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba?
Traders have put $9.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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