A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Rio de Janeiro.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Rio de Janeiro. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Brazil
· Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro
Flavio Bolsonaro
$4K Volume
83%
Lula
$2.2K Volume
18%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$453 Volume
1%
Pablo Marçal
$597 Volume
1%
Renan Santos
$699 Volume
1%
Ronaldo Caiado
$611 Volume
1%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$431 Volume
1%
Samara
$433 Volume
1%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$567 Volume
1%
Clariana Barao
$375 Volume
1%
Edmilson Costa
$453 Volume
1%
Hertz Dias
$373 Volume
1%
Zema
$373 Volume
1%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
Candidate D
50%
Candidate E
50%
Candidate F
50%
Candidate G
50%
Candidate H
50%
Candidate I
50%
Candidate J
50%
Candidate K
50%
Candidate L
50%
Candidate M
50%
Candidate N
50%
Candidate O
50%
Candidate P
50%
Candidate Q
50%
Candidate R
50%
Candidate S
50%
Candidate T
50%
Candidate U
50%
Candidate V
50%
Candidate W
50%
Candidate X
50%
Candidate Y
50%
Candidate Z
50%
Other
50%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro?
Flavio Bolsonaro leads the field at 81%, with Candidate A next at 50%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro?
The market makes Flavio Bolsonaro the favorite at 81%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.
When does the Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro market resolve?
The market runs until 4 Oct 2026 (41 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro?
Total turnover stands at $11.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Rio de Janeiro on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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