The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Eduardo Paes
$58.2K Volume
95%
Douglas Ruas
$22.3K Volume
5%
Rafa Luz
$15.4K Volume
1%
Dr. Luizinho
$16.8K Volume
1%
Eduardo Pazuello
$3.8K Volume
1%
Tarcísio Motta
$17.3K Volume
1%
Anthony Garotinho
$22.3K Volume
1%
Wilson Witzel
$19.5K Volume
1%
André Português
$3.7K Volume
1%
Lindbergh Farias
$15.6K Volume
1%
Felipe Curi
$25.6K Volume
1%
Nicola Miccione
$5.4K Volume
1%
André Ceciliano
$19.1K Volume
1%
Chico Machado
$16.1K Volume
1%
Fred Pacheco
$140.7K Volume
1%
Colonel Busnello
$17.3K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner?
At 94%, Eduardo Paes has pulled far clear of Candidate E (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner?
Traders price Eduardo Paes at a 94% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner market resolve?
Mark 5 Oct 2026 (42 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner?
$419.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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