This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
<10.5M
41%
10.5M-11M
43%
11M-11.5M
47%
11.5M-12M
44%
12M-12.5M
46%
12.5M-13M
46%
13M-13.5M
43%
13.5M-14M
45%
14M-14.5M
41%
14.5M+
41%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Governor Election: Turnout?
Even the leader is cheap - 11M-11.5M trades at 29%, 12M-12.5M at 29%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for California Governor Election: Turnout?
No strong consensus yet: 11M-11.5M tops the implied probabilities at just 29%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the California Governor Election: Turnout market resolve?
The market runs until 3 Nov 2026 (71 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How can I trade California Governor Election: Turnout on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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