Proposition 2 is a California ballot measure currently scheduled for voting on November 3, 2026. It would allow the state to deposit up to 20% of its general fund tax revenue into its rainy day fund each year, instead of the current 10%.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified ballot measure is approved by a majority of voters at the California statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of California, including the California Secretary of State (https://www.sos.ca.gov/).
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for California Rainy Day Fund Proposition?
Yes leads at 71% against 29% for No. That's a clear favorite, but not a done deal - live order-book prices shift with every trade.
What do traders predict for California Rainy Day Fund Proposition?
Traders lean toward Yes, pricing it at 71%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the California Rainy Day Fund Proposition market resolve?
Mark 3 Nov 2026 (71 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on California Rainy Day Fund Proposition?
Total turnover stands at $834. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade California Rainy Day Fund Proposition on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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