US Election · Politics

Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by...?

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$92.1K Volume

01/01/2027 04:59

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December 31, 2026

$60.4K Volume

16%

Resolved 1

December 31, 2025

$31.7K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by?

Yes is the outsider here at 15%, while No trades at 85%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.

What do traders predict for Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 15% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by market resolve?

The market runs until 1 Jan 2027 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by?

$92.1K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.

How can I trade Will Gavin Newsom announce Presidential run by on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.