Canada · Politics

Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

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$96 Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Canada expels the United States Ambassador to Canada between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “expel” refers to a formal action by Canada requiring the United States Ambassador to leave Canada, including a declaration of persona non grata. Revocation of the Ambassador’s visa or denial of entry to Canada will not alone suffice.

An announcement of a qualifying expulsion will suffice for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the Ambassador actually leaves the country.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Canadian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

The market prices Yes at only 5%, with No at 96%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.

What do traders predict for Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 5% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (130 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31?

Traders have put $96 through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Canada expels the US Ambassador by December 31 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.