This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christine Lagarde ceases to be the President of the European Central Bank for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lagarde's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christine Lagarde and the European Central Bank; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 25%, while No trades at 75%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 25% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
Total turnover stands at $20.5K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
Similar Markets
Before September 1, 202640%YesNo
September 1 - 14, 202627%YesNo
3.1%+66%YesNo
2.8-3.0%20%YesNo
280%YesNo
111%YesNo
25 bps increase96%YesNo
No change4%YesNo
July 311%
August 311%
October 1 - 31, 202637%YesNo
September 15 - 30, 202625%YesNo
