This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a case of Screwworm in any livestock animal in a state of the United States other than Texas confirmed between market creation and the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any laboratory-confirmed screwworm infection identified within a U.S. state other than Texas will qualify, regardless of where exposure or symptom onset occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC or USDA); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
August 30
$1.5K Volume
34%
October 31
$501 Volume
80%
December 31
$534 Volume
78%
Resolved 1
June 30
$2.1K Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by?
October 31 leads the field at 66%, with December 31 next at 62%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.
What do traders predict for Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by?
Traders lean toward October 31, pricing it at 66%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
How much money is trading on Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by?
$4.7K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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