This market will resolve to "Yes" if there have been the specified amount or more confirmed cases of Measles (Rubeola) in humans in the territory of the United States of America in 2026, according to the CDC case counter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter 'Total Cases' in 2026 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/measles/data-research/index.html) at the resolution time. If the counter becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Note: Only cases reported by the CDC Measles (Rubeola) counter will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. State agencies or other sources.
2800+
$668 Volume
99%
2825+
$346 Volume
94%
2850+
$1.4K Volume
91%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
At 99%, 2800+ has pulled far clear of 2825+ (93%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
With 99% implied for 2800+, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Measles cases in U.S. by August 31 market resolve?
Mark 31 Aug 2026 (7 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Measles cases in U.S. by August 31?
$6.6K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Measles cases in U.S. by August 31 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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2900+97%
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