This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 8%, while No trades at 93%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is Yes at 8% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Congress approves Iran deal in 2026 market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Traders have put $12.4K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Congress approves Iran deal in 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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