This is a market about percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending July 2026, seasonally adjusted, as reported by the Bureau of Economic Analysis.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy (Core PCE) over the 12-month period ending in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BEA Personal Income and Outlays report for July 2026 (https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index), currently scheduled to be released on August 26, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BEA Personal Income and Outlays news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core PCE figure — the PCE price index excluding food and energy — not the headline all-items (total) PCE price index figure.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Personal Income and Outlays report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Past
≤3.0%
$2.4K Volume
1%
3.1%
$2.3K Volume
1%
3.2%
$11.9K Volume
22%
3.3%
$29.8K Volume
80%
3.4%
$2.7K Volume
2%
3.5%
$1.1K Volume
1%
3.6%+
$1.2K Volume
1%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Core PCE YoY - July 2026?
The money is on 3.3% at 79%; 3.2% follows at 21%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Core PCE YoY - July 2026?
Traders lean toward 3.3%, pricing it at 79%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Core PCE YoY - July 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 26 Aug 2026 (1 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Core PCE YoY - July 2026?
Traders have put $1.7K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Core PCE YoY - July 2026 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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