Doncaster Rovers FC vs. Middlesbrough FC

Middlesbrough’s status as a Championship side facing League One opposition in the Carabao Cup second round underpins their 61% implied probability, bolstered by stronger squad depth and recent results that include a first-round victory and competitive Championship outings despite a narrow loss at Blackburn. Doncaster’s winless start to the League One campaign, marked by a 2-1 defeat at Mansfield and a 0-0 draw with Barnsley, combined with multiple injury concerns including James Husband, Matty Pearson, Tom Nixon, and striker Frankie Okoronkwo, limits their 17% chance. The 22.5% draw probability reflects the potential for a rotated Boro lineup on the road, though historical patterns favor the higher-division visitors in such ties.