This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 21 12:00 PM ET to August 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
120-139
$72.4K Volume
1%
140-159
$52.1K Volume
1%
160-179
$52.4K Volume
2%
180-199
$33.8K Volume
9%
200-219
$22.6K Volume
20%
220-239
$18.1K Volume
27%
240-259
$14K Volume
20%
260-279
$20.6K Volume
13%
280-299
$30.8K Volume
6%
300-319
$40.2K Volume
3%
320-339
$40.3K Volume
2%
340-359
$36.9K Volume
1%
360-379
$33.4K Volume
1%
380-399
$47.1K Volume
1%
400-419
$36.5K Volume
1%
420-439
$35.9K Volume
1%
440-459
$41.6K Volume
1%
460-479
$42K Volume
1%
480-499
$51.6K Volume
1%
500+
$79.3K Volume
1%
Resolved 6
<20
$5.7K Volume
No
20-39
$3.3K Volume
No
40-59
$22.8K Volume
No
60-79
$18.3K Volume
No
80-99
$30.7K Volume
No
100-119
$42.7K Volume
No
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
The field is wide open: 220-239 tops it at just 27%, with 200-219 close behind at 20%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Right now the market's best guess is 220-239 at 27% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 28 Aug 2026 (4 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Traders have put $1M through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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