This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 25 12:00 PM ET to September 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
<20
$3.6K Volume
1%
20-39
$2.6K Volume
1%
40-59
$1.6K Volume
1%
60-79
$20.1K Volume
1%
80-99
$4.2K Volume
1%
100-119
$6.9K Volume
2%
120-139
$6.1K Volume
3%
140-159
$1.3K Volume
7%
160-179
$1.4K Volume
9%
180-199
$454 Volume
12%
200-219
$1.2K Volume
14%
220-239
$3.6K Volume
14%
240-259
$3.1K Volume
13%
260-279
$2.3K Volume
10%
280-299
$2.5K Volume
8%
300-319
$3.9K Volume
5%
320-339
$1.8K Volume
3%
340-359
$1.3K Volume
2%
360-379
$2.3K Volume
3%
380-399
$2.2K Volume
2%
400-419
$2.5K Volume
2%
420-439
$2K Volume
1%
440-459
$1.4K Volume
1%
460-479
$1.3K Volume
1%
480-499
$2.1K Volume
1%
500+
$7K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: x.com
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
The field is wide open: 200-219 tops it at just 14%, with 220-239 close behind at 14%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: 200-219 tops the implied probabilities at just 14%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026 market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Sep 2026 (8 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026?
$695.2K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Elon Musk # tweets August 25 - September 1, 2026 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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