The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety special (live)”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny
$42.4K Volume
83%
The Oscars
$5.7K Volume
11%
The Golden Globes
$1.3K Volume
5%
The Tonys
$1.7K Volume
6%
The Grammys
$1K Volume
4%
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
The money is on The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny at 82%; The Oscars follows at 10%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.
What do traders predict for Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
Traders lean toward The Super Bowl LX Halftime Show starring Bad Bunny, pricing it at 82%. That's conviction with real money behind it - but live forecasts shift, sometimes quickly.
When does the Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live) market resolve?
Resolution is scheduled for 14 Sep 2026 (22 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.
How much money is trading on Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live)?
Traders have put $52.1K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety special (live) on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
Similar Markets
2-358%YesNo
4-522%YesNo
“The Pitt”94%YesNo
“A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms”3%YesNo
2-342%YesNo
4-538%YesNo
Jean Smart – “Hacks”92%YesNo
Elle Fanning – “Margo’s Got Money Troubles”5%YesNo
“Widow’s Bay”55%YesNo
“Hacks”42%YesNo
Matthew Rhys – “Widow’s Bay”91%YesNo
Martin Short – “Only Murders in the Building”6%YesNo
Rhea Seehorn – “Pluribus”81%YesNo
Keri Russell – “The Diplomat”12%YesNo
2-371%YesNo
0-123%YesNo