This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
Yes is the outsider here at 6%, while No trades at 95%. Longshot prices like this can move sharply when new information lands.
What do traders predict for Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 6%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026 market resolve?
Mark 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
$12 in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026 on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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