AI · Tech

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

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$43.2K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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45%+

$19.8K Volume

86%

50%+

$5.2K Volume

56%

55%+

$8.8K Volume

36%

60%+

$7.7K Volume

31%

65%+

$1.7K Volume

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution Source: agi.safe.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ leads the field at 84%, with 50%+ next at 56%. A solid favorite - though every trade can reshuffle the board.

What do traders predict for Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

The market makes 45%+ the favorite at 84%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?

Mark 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.

How much money is trading on Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Traders have put $43.2K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.