Anthropic · Tech

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

$15.5K Volume
01/10/2026 03:59
Trade on Polymarket
View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket
August 31
$62.7K Volume
30%
September 9
$2.1K Volume
82%
September 15
$11.4K Volume
57%
September 30
$101.5K Volume
79%
October 31
96%
Resolved 1
July 31
$42.1K Volume
No

On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.

For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.

If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Next Mythos-Class Model released by?
October 31 dominates the field at 85%; the nearest challenger, September 30, trades at just 77%. The order book treats this as nearly decided.
What do traders predict for Next Mythos-Class Model released by?
Traders price October 31 at a 85% implied probability - about as confident as prediction markets get. Real money stands behind that number, updated live.
When does the Next Mythos-Class Model released by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Next Mythos-Class Model released by?
Traders have put $15.5K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Next Mythos-Class Model released by on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.

Similar Markets

↑$1.25T98%YesNo
↑$1.5T94%YesNo
October 202675%YesNo
September 202614%YesNo
December 31, 202691%YesNo
October 31, 202682%YesNo
$1.75–$2.0T18%YesNo
$2.0–$2.25T17%YesNo
AnthropicAnthropic70%YesNo
xAIxAI12%YesNo
December 3196%YesNo
October 3182%YesNo
8-1084%YesNo
5-78%YesNo
1.8T+77%YesNo
1.5–1.8T14%YesNo
Trade on Polymarket
Start Polymarket Training For Free
Trade prediction markets with virtual money. Real prices, zero risk. Compete on the leaderboard.
$1K
Virtual Cash
500+
Markets
$0
Real Risk
Learn more