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Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

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$22.7K Volume

31/12/2026 23:59

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55%+

$15.3K Volume

46%

60%+

$2.2K Volume

27%

65%+

$3.6K Volume

17%

70%+

$1.6K Volume

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution Source: agi.safe.ai

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

It's a genuine race: 55%+ edges the field at 46%, barely ahead of 60%+ at 27%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.

What do traders predict for Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Traders give 55%+ a 46% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.

When does the Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 31 Dec 2026 (129 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Total turnover stands at $22.7K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 on Polymarket?

Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.