This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Anthropic
$61.9K Volume
92%
OpenAI
$28.4K Volume
6%
Google
$25.6K Volume
2%
SpaceXAI
$29.5K Volume
2%
Meta
$25.2K Volume
1%
Alibaba
$29.2K Volume
1%
Z.ai
$31.7K Volume
1%
DeepSeek
$25.1K Volume
1%
Moonshot
$19.4K Volume
1%
Baidu
$16.8K Volume
1%
Xiaomi
$27.7K Volume
1%
Amazon
$19K Volume
1%
ByteDance
$18.4K Volume
1%
Nvidia
$16.5K Volume
1%
Thinky
$14.1K Volume
1%
MiniMax
$14.3K Volume
1%
Mistral
$14.5K Volume
1%
Meituan
$18.6K Volume
1%
Tencent
$12.9K Volume
1%
StepFun
$21.5K Volume
1%
Microsoft
$25.6K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: arena.ai
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
At 91%, Anthropic has pulled far clear of Company A (50%). Prices stay live until resolution, but the market sees one clear outcome.
What do traders predict for Which company has the best AI model end of September?
With 91% implied for Anthropic, the market has largely made up its mind. Still a forecast, not a result: prices react instantly if the story changes.
When does the Which company has the best AI model end of September market resolve?
The market runs until 30 Sep 2026 (37 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Traders have put $74K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Which company has the best AI model end of September on Polymarket?
You can watch the odds move here in real time and trade the market directly on Polymarket. As always, prediction trading carries real risk.
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