This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
21°C or below
$6.5K Volume
1%
22°C
$10.7K Volume
1%
23°C
$4.8K Volume
38%
24°C
$7.2K Volume
35%
25°C
$6.4K Volume
20%
26°C
$8.6K Volume
8%
27°C
$2.5K Volume
1%
28°C
$3.2K Volume
1%
29°C
$3.6K Volume
1%
30°C
$5.7K Volume
1%
31°C or higher
$8.1K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
The field is wide open: 23°C tops it at just 37%, with 24°C close behind at 34%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
No strong consensus yet: 23°C tops the implied probabilities at just 37%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27 market resolve?
Mark 27 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27?
Traders have put $111.6K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Madrid on August 27 on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.
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