This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
27°C or below
$2.1K Volume
1%
28°C
$1.1K Volume
1%
29°C
$8K Volume
1%
30°C
$6.5K Volume
57%
31°C
$2.7K Volume
39%
32°C
$2.9K Volume
12%
33°C
$3.1K Volume
3%
34°C
$3.7K Volume
1%
35°C
$1.5K Volume
1%
36°C
$3.5K Volume
1%
37°C or higher
$1.8K Volume
1%
Resolution Source: www.weather.gov
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
It's a genuine race: 30°C edges the field at 50%, barely ahead of 31°C at 35%. Tight markets like this can flip on one headline.
What do traders predict for Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
Traders give 30°C a 50% chance - essentially a toss-up. In markets this tight, the implied odds can swing on a single piece of news.
When does the Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27 market resolve?
Mark 27 Aug 2026 (1 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27?
$74.3K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 27 on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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