Economy · Jerome Powell

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

View on Polymarket

$94 Volume

31/12/2026 00:00

Trade on Polymarket

View on Official Site Trade with real money on Polymarket →

Past

Dec 31, 2025 Apr 30, 2025

Dec 31

4.8%

$59.9K Volume

69%

5.0%

$82.7K Volume

18%

5.2%

$26.4K Volume

11%

5.5%

$5.8K Volume

5.7%

$4.3K Volume

6.0%

$3.2K Volume

Resolved 4

4.5%

$37.4K Volume

Yes

4.6%

$41.9K Volume

Yes

4.4%

$20.9K Volume

Yes

4.3%

$6K Volume

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

The money is on 4.8% at 67%; 5.0% follows at 18%. Live order-book odds, refreshed with every fill.

What do traders predict for How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

The market makes 4.8% the favorite at 67%. Implied probabilities come from real positions, and they move as traders digest new information.

When does the How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027 market resolve?

The market runs until 31 Dec 2026 (128 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.

How much money is trading on How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Total turnover stands at $94. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.

How can I trade How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027 on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.