water · Drought

How low will Lake Powell drop?

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$3K Volume

15/04/2027 23:59

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Below 3,490 ft

$387 Volume

29%

3,490–3,500 ft

$247 Volume

35%

3,500–3,510 ft

$1.1K Volume

26%

Above 3,510 ft

$1.3K Volume

37%

This market resolves based on the lowest daily elevation recorded at Lake Powell (Glen Canyon Dam) between market creation and March 31, 2027, as published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation. See each individual market for its bracket and full resolution terms.

Because a lower reading can occur at any point up to March 31, 2027, all outcomes are settled after the window closes, based on the lowest daily elevation recorded during the window.

The resolution source is the minimum daily lake elevation published by the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation for Lake Powell at Glen Canyon Dam, available at https://data.usbr.gov/catalog/2362/item/508. USBR data is provisional and subject to revision; the lowest daily elevation reflected in USBR data as of April 15, 2027 governs, and revisions published after April 15, 2027 will not change the outcome. Daily elevation data published at https://lakepowell.water-data.com/ may also be referenced, but if it disagrees with USBR, the USBR value governs.

Resolution Source: data.usbr.gov

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for How low will Lake Powell drop?

The field is wide open: Above 3,510 ft tops it at just 35%, with 3,490–3,500 ft close behind at 24%. Plenty of outcomes still carry real probability.

What do traders predict for How low will Lake Powell drop?

Right now the market's best guess is Above 3,510 ft at 35% - a lead, but a fragile one in a wide-open field backed by real trading.

When does the How low will Lake Powell drop market resolve?

Resolution is scheduled for 15 Apr 2027 (234 days left). Once the outcome is confirmed, the market settles under Polymarket's published criteria.

How much money is trading on How low will Lake Powell drop?

Traders have put $3K through this market so far - a solid gauge of how much real money backs these odds.

How can I trade How low will Lake Powell drop on Polymarket?

Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.