This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Indonesia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and Indonesia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
December 31, 2026
$533K Volume
15%
Resolved 1
June 30, 2026
$3M Volume
No
Odds & FAQ
What are the current odds for Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by?
The market prices Yes at only 12%, with No at 89%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 12%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by market resolve?
Mark 1 Jan 2027 (129 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by?
$3.5M in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.
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