Politics · Likud

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

$106K Volume
27/10/2026 00:00
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<20
$34.7K Volume
18%
20-24
$16.1K Volume
32%
25-29
$25.5K Volume
35%
30-34
$20.2K Volume
19%
35+
$9.5K Volume
3%

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.

If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
Even the leader is cheap - 25-29 trades at 34%, 20-24 at 31%. A crowded, uncertain field where odds move constantly.
What do traders predict for Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
No strong consensus yet: 25-29 tops the implied probabilities at just 34%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Israel Election: Likud # of seats market resolve?
Mark 27 Oct 2026 (64 days left): that's when this market is due to resolve, following Polymarket's published criteria once the result is verified.
How much money is trading on Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
$106K in total volume has traded here. Deeper markets like this tend to price events more sharply.
How can I trade Israel Election: Likud # of seats on Polymarket?
Follow this page for live prices; trading happens on Polymarket itself. Start small - implied odds move, and so can your position's value.

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