Politics · netanyahu

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

$140.4K Volume
01/10/2026 03:59
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September 30
$31.6K Volume
5%
Resolved 1
July 31
$108.8K Volume
No

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Odds & FAQ

What are the current odds for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by?
The market prices Yes at only 4%, with No at 96%. Traders currently see this as unlikely - but live odds are a forecast, not a verdict.
What do traders predict for Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by?
No strong consensus yet: Yes tops the implied probabilities at just 4%. Watch how the money moves as the event approaches.
When does the Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by market resolve?
The market runs until 1 Oct 2026 (38 days left), then settles according to Polymarket's published resolution rules for this event.
How much money is trading on Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by?
Total turnover stands at $140.4K. Volume shows conviction: these odds are backed by actual positions, not polls.
How can I trade Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by on Polymarket?
Track the live odds on this page, then open the market on Polymarket to take a position. Trade carefully - only stake what you can afford to lose.

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